- Listen to nobody. Most of them are idiots. Those that aren't idiots are trying to fleece you.
- Trust yourself.
- Measure risk as inattention.
- Develop an utter intolerance of loss.
- Aim high. Very high.
- 26% is needed to double in three years.
- Back your hunches.
- Focus on concentration rather than diffusion.
- Reinforce succeses heavily.
- Do not reinforce failures.
- Become a gardener. Nurture things which are growing in the right way. Weed regularly and ruthlessly.
- Develop an indifference to any emotional factors associated with the holding. They are nice / do good things has no place.
- Forget ethical investments. They are for wankers.
- Investments are always short term. Long termism is a way of cheating the ordinary man on the Clapham omnibus into handing his money over to sharp players who know this is not true.
- Volatilty = profit.
- Buy on ups.
- Sell on downs.
- Penny shares invariably have idiotic spreads, and prove illiquid when you try and sell them. Man, I've been burnt by this one.
- There is no substitute for sensible research.
- You do not need to be any kind of expert to do sensible research. Sensible research questions are:
- Is the trend up?
- Is it volatile?
- Are they making money?
- Are they big enough to be sound and small enough to grow?
- Are they adding net equity?
- Are they solvent?
- Is the P/E ludicrous?
- Do you understand how they make money?
- Does it seem like a growth market?
- Funds don't decrease risk, they increase it, as they build in inattention in their liquidity profile.
- Moreover, a lot of fund managers ARE long termers, and therefore miss the profit from volatilty. And they charge you a %, win or lose.
- Funds are useful to access markets otherwise unavailable.
- ETFs cover most of these better and cheaper.
- The past is not an indicator of future performance. Yeah, right. Just like if you were England manager, whether a player had scored in every single game, or had never played football before would never enter your head.
- To really make money, start with a lot of money.
- Enjoy the learning as well as the profits.
- Don't believe a word I say. Work it out for yourself.
Thursday, 17 February 2011
INVESTMENT MANIFESTO
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